FootyTips 
Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town 
Prediction
· Matchweek 21 · Vitality Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 64%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 64%, draw 21%, Ipswich Town 15%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 64%
model top outcome · 64%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Bournemouth 64% / Draw 21% / Ipswich Town 15%; expected goals 2.05-0.89; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Bournemouth win: 64%
- Draw: 21%
- Ipswich Town win: 15%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.05 - 0.89
- Over 2.5: 56%
- Both teams to score: 51%
Model Ratings
Bournemouth Elo 1792 · Ipswich Town Elo 1580
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Bournemouth clear favourites at 64% in this Matchweek 21 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 64%, the draw 21%, Ipswich Town 15%. A big Elo gap in Bournemouth's favour (1792 vs 1580), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
Bournemouth are favoured at 64%. Bournemouth 64% / Draw 21% / Ipswich Town 15%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.