FootyTips 
Bournemouth vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 14 · Vitality Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Bournemouth to win at 79%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 79%, draw 14%, Hull City 7%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 79%
model top outcome · 79%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Bournemouth 79% / Draw 14% / Hull City 7%; expected goals 2.66-0.69; BTTS 46%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Bournemouth win: 79%
- Draw: 14%
- Hull City win: 7%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.66 - 0.69
- Over 2.5: 65%
- Both teams to score: 46%
Model Ratings
Bournemouth Elo 1806 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Bournemouth clear favourites at 79% in this Matchweek 14 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 79%, the draw 14%, Hull City 7%. A big Elo gap in Bournemouth's favour (1806 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 46%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Bournemouth vs Hull City?
Bournemouth are favoured at 79%. Bournemouth 79% / Draw 14% / Hull City 7%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Bournemouth vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 46%.