Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Feb 20, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 26 · Vitality Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Bournemouth to win at 54%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 54%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace 22%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 54%

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace prediction: 54% / 24% / 22% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Bournemouth
model top outcome · 54%

1-0
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Bournemouth 54% / Draw 24% / Crystal Palace 22%; expected goals 1.77-1.03; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Bournemouth win: 54%
Draw: 24%
Crystal Palace win: 22%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.77 - 1.03
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Bournemouth Elo 1792 · Crystal Palace Elo 1672

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Bournemouth clear favourites at 54% in this Matchweek 26 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 54%, the draw 24%, Crystal Palace 22%. A clear Elo edge to Bournemouth (1792 vs 1672), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Bournemouth are favoured at 54%. Bournemouth 54% / Draw 24% / Crystal Palace 22%.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.