Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction

Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 33 · Vitality Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 14:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 53%. Overall probabilities: Bournemouth 23%, draw 24%, Arsenal 53%; model score 0-1.

Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 53%

Bournemouth vs Arsenal prediction: 23% / 24% / 53% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 53%

0-1
model score forecast

53%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Bournemouth 23% / Draw 24% / Arsenal 53%; expected goals 1.05-1.74; BTTS 54%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/bournemouth-vs-arsenal-2027-04-24-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/bournemouth-vs-arsenal-2027-04-24.png" alt="Bournemouth vs Arsenal prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Bournemouth win: 23%
Draw: 24%
Arsenal win: 53%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 0-1
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.05 - 1.74
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams to score: 54%

Model Ratings

Bournemouth Elo 1792 · Arsenal Elo 2000

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

The model installs Arsenal clear favourites at 53% in this Matchweek 33 fixture at Vitality Stadium — Bournemouth 23%, the draw 24%, Arsenal 53%. A big Elo gap in Arsenal's favour (2000 vs 1792), and the model score forecast is 0–1.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Bournemouth vs Arsenal?

Arsenal are favoured at 53%. Bournemouth 23% / Draw 24% / Arsenal 53%.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Arsenal?

Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Bournemouth vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.