Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town
Prediction
· Matchweek 23 · Villa Park
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Aston Villa to win at 66%. Overall probabilities: Aston Villa 66%, draw 20%, Ipswich Town 14%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 66%
model top outcome · 66%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
Citable facts: Aston Villa 66% / Draw 20% / Ipswich Town 14%; expected goals 2.12-0.86; BTTS 51%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Aston Villa win: 66%
- Draw: 20%
- Ipswich Town win: 14%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.12 - 0.86
- Over 2.5: 57%
- Both teams to score: 51%
Model Ratings
Aston Villa Elo 1798 · Ipswich Town Elo 1566
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Aston Villa clear favourites at 66% in this Matchweek 23 fixture at Villa Park — Aston Villa 66%, the draw 20%, Ipswich Town 14%. A big Elo gap in Aston Villa's favour (1798 vs 1566), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 51%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
Aston Villa are favoured at 66%. Aston Villa 66% / Draw 20% / Ipswich Town 14%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 51%.



