FootyTips 
Aston Villa vs Hull City 
Prediction
· Matchweek 29 · Villa Park
Match Status
Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started
Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —
The model favours Aston Villa to win at 78%. Overall probabilities: Aston Villa 78%, draw 14%, Hull City 8%; model score 2-0.
Model confidence: Very High · top outcome 78%
model top outcome · 78%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.
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Citable facts: Aston Villa 78% / Draw 14% / Hull City 8%; expected goals 2.62-0.69; BTTS 47%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Aston Villa win: 78%
- Draw: 14%
- Hull City win: 8%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 2-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 2.62 - 0.69
- Over 2.5: 64%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Model Ratings
Aston Villa Elo 1798 · Hull City Elo 1433
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model rates Aston Villa clear favourites at 78% in this Matchweek 29 fixture at Villa Park — Aston Villa 78%, the draw 14%, Hull City 8%. A big Elo gap in Aston Villa's favour (1798 vs 1433), and the model score forecast is 2–0.
Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.
FAQ
Who will win Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Aston Villa are favoured at 78%. Aston Villa 78% / Draw 14% / Hull City 8%.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Aston Villa vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Hull City?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.