Aston Villa vs Hull City Prediction

Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 29 · Villa Park

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Aston Villa to win at 68%. Overall probabilities: Aston Villa 68%, draw 19%, Hull City 13%; model score 2-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 68%

Aston Villa vs Hull City prediction: 68% / 19% / 13% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Aston Villa
model top outcome · 68%

2-0
model score forecast

58%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Aston Villa 68% / Draw 19% / Hull City 13%; expected goals 2.18-0.84; BTTS 50%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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Win Probability

Aston Villa win: 68%
Draw: 19%
Hull City win: 13%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 2-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 2.18 - 0.84
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams to score: 50%

Model Ratings

Aston Villa Elo 1748 · Hull City Elo 1499

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates Aston Villa clear favourites at 68% in this Matchweek 29 fixture at Villa Park — Aston Villa 68%, the draw 19%, Hull City 13%. A big Elo gap in Aston Villa's favour (1748 vs 1499), and the model score forecast is 2–0.

Expect an open game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 50%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Hull City?

Aston Villa are favoured at 68%. Aston Villa 68% / Draw 19% / Hull City 13%.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Hull City?

Our model score forecast is 2-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Aston Villa vs Hull City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Hull City?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 50%.