Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction

Dec 2, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 13 · Villa Park

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Aston Villa to win at 45%. Overall probabilities: Aston Villa 45%, draw 26%, Everton 29%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 45%

Aston Villa vs Everton prediction: 45% / 26% / 29% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Aston Villa
model top outcome · 45%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Aston Villa 45% / Draw 26% / Everton 29%; expected goals 1.53-1.19; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/aston-villa-vs-everton-2026-12-02-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/aston-villa-vs-everton-2026-12-02.png" alt="Aston Villa vs Everton prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Aston Villa win: 45%
Draw: 26%
Everton win: 29%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.53 - 1.19
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Aston Villa Elo 1748 · Everton Elo 1721

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model has Aston Villa clear favourites at 45% in this Matchweek 13 fixture at Villa Park — Aston Villa 45%, the draw 26%, Everton 29%. A modest Elo edge to Aston Villa (1748 vs 1721), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Everton?

Aston Villa are favoured at 45%. Aston Villa 45% / Draw 26% / Everton 29%.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Everton?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Aston Villa vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Everton?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.