Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction

Feb 10, 08:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 25 · Villa Park

Match Status

Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model sees this as a close match, with Aston Villa narrowly favoured (38%). Overall probabilities: Aston Villa 38%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 36%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: Low · top outcome 38%

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth prediction: 38% / 26% / 36% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Aston Villa
model top outcome · 38%

1-0
model score forecast

51%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-09-20
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Aston Villa 38% / Draw 26% / Bournemouth 36%; expected goals 1.36-1.34; BTTS 55%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

Embed this prediction

Free for your site or blog — paste this HTML. The card refreshes automatically as our model updates.

<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/aston-villa-vs-bournemouth-2027-02-10-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/aston-villa-vs-bournemouth-2027-02-10.png" alt="Aston Villa vs Bournemouth prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Aston Villa win: 38%
Draw: 26%
Bournemouth win: 36%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.36 - 1.34
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams to score: 55%

Model Ratings

Aston Villa Elo 1748 · Bournemouth Elo 1792

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-09-20. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model rates this a tight, evenly-matched Matchweek 25 fixture at Villa Park: Aston Villa 38%, the draw 26%, Bournemouth 36%. With a modest Elo edge to Bournemouth (1792 vs 1748), Aston Villa are only narrow favourites, and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Bournemouth?

Aston Villa are favoured at 38%. Aston Villa 38% / Draw 26% / Bournemouth 36%.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Bournemouth?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Aston Villa vs Bournemouth have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Bournemouth?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.