Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction

Feb 6, 03:00 PM UTC · Matchweek 24 · Emirates Stadium

Match Status

Kickoff 15:00 UTC · Not started

Source: TheSportsDB fixtures · Updated: —

The model favours Arsenal to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: Arsenal 58%, draw 23%, Liverpool 19%; model score 1-0.

Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%

Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction: 58% / 23% / 19% — Download card · share-ready 1:1

Arsenal
model top outcome · 58%

1-0
model score forecast

54%
over 2.5 goals probability

2026-08-01
model update date

Betting View

No live odds for this match yet. We show model probabilities now; value signals appear once bookmaker odds come in.

Check the market edge page

Citable facts: Arsenal 58% / Draw 23% / Liverpool 19%; expected goals 1.86-0.98; BTTS 53%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.

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<a href="https://footytips.io/premier-league/arsenal-vs-liverpool-2027-02-06-prediction/?ref=embed" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://footytips.io/social/arsenal-vs-liverpool-2027-02-06.png" alt="Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction — Premier League" width="540" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border-radius:12px"></a>
<p style="font:14px/1.4 system-ui,sans-serif;margin:.4rem 0">AI Premier League prediction by <a href="https://footytips.io/?ref=embed">FootyTips.io</a></p>

Win Probability

Arsenal win: 58%
Draw: 23%
Liverpool win: 19%

Goals & Scoreline

Model score: 1-0
Expected goals (model lambda): 1.86 - 0.98
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams to score: 53%

Model Ratings

Arsenal Elo 1979 · Liverpool Elo 1829

Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-08-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.

Analysis

Our model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 58% in this Matchweek 24 fixture at Emirates Stadium — Arsenal 58%, the draw 23%, Liverpool 19%. A clear Elo edge to Arsenal (1979 vs 1829), and the model score forecast is 1–0.

Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the Premier League.

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Arsenal are favoured at 58%. Arsenal 58% / Draw 23% / Liverpool 19%.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.

Will Arsenal vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 53%.